Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Illinois St 97%, Murray St 3% at Illinois St.
Illinois St's win probability against Murray St has held at 94% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Illinois St's win probability against Murray St has held at 95% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Illinois St's win probability against Murray St has held at 97% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.