Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Abilene Christian 51%, Idaho 49% at Idaho.
Abilene Christian's win probability against Idaho has swung between 50% and 61% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 51% now.
Abilene Christian's win probability against Idaho has swung between 57% and 67% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 57% now.
Abilene Christian's win probability against Idaho has swung between 63% and 72% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 63% now.