Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Montana St 70%, Idaho St 30% at Idaho St.
Montana St's win probability against Idaho St has swung between 53% and 77% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 70% now.
Montana St's win probability against Idaho St has swung between 60% and 82% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 75% now.
Montana St's win probability against Idaho St has swung between 65% and 85% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 80% now.