Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Idaho St 84%, Cal Poly SLO 16% at Idaho St.
Idaho St's win probability against Cal Poly SLO has swung between 64% and 83% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 76% now.
Idaho St's win probability against Cal Poly SLO has swung between 69% and 87% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 80% now.
Idaho St's win probability against Cal Poly SLO has swung between 75% and 90% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 84% now.