Division III College Football Game Simulator Simulate Any Matchup
Prediction updated: Saturday, August 1, 2026
Nelson
Lions
SAC (NAIA)
22
29% win prob
Away
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
Howard Payne
Yellow Jackets
American Southwest (D3)
36
71% win prob
Home
POINT SPREAD
Howard Payne by 14.73
TOTAL POINTS
58
UPDATED
Saturday, August 1, 2026
PRESEASON RATINGS
*Ratings are relative to Division (FBS, FCS, D2, D3, NAIA)
Nelson
Howard Payne
|
70
D+
|
Overall |
77
C+
|
|
66
D
|
Power |
82
B-
|
|
65
D
|
Offensive |
83
B-
|
|
66
D
|
Defensive |
78
C+
|
|
79
C+
|
SoS (Current) |
79
C+
|
|
79
C+
|
SoS (Future) |
79
C+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Nelson
Howard Payne
| 650 | Overall | 547 |
| 682 | Power | 586 |
| 670 | Offensive | 569 |
| 691 | Defensive | 613 |
| 559 | SoS (Current) | 542 |
| 559 | SoS (Future) | 542 |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Nelson
Howard Payne
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Overall |
4-6 (40%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Home |
2-3 (40%) |
|
1-5 (16.7%) |
Away |
2-3 (40%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Own Division Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-6 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-6 (14.3%) |
|
3-1 (75%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
3-0 (100%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
2-3 (40%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Nelson
Howard Payne
| #612 Langston | Best Win | #520 Texas Lutheran |
| #648 OK Panhandle St | Worst Loss | #511 McMurry |
| 19 pts vs #700 Arkansas Baptist | Largest MOV | 18 pts vs #545 East Texas Baptist |
| 54 pts vs #209 Hardin-Simmons | Largest MOD | 56 pts vs #241 Mary Hardin-Baylor |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Nelson
Howard Payne
| 23.8 | Points per Game | 22.5 |
| 39.8 | Points Against | 35.7 |
| 26.5 | Home PPG | 21.6 |
| 34 | Home PA | 34.2 |
| 22 | Away PPG | 23.4 |
| 43.7 | Away PA | 37.2 |
| 54-48 | Opponent Record | 61-40 |
| 482.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 415.8 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | L 3 |
| W 2 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Nelson
Howard Payne
| Nov 15 vs Texas College (1-8) W 26-21 | Nov 15 vs Mary Hardin-Baylor (7-3) L 9-65 |
| Nov 8 vs Langston (3-7) W 52-50 | Nov 8 at East Texas Baptist (4-6) W 34-27 |
| Nov 1 at Wayland Baptist (6-3) L 27-45 | Nov 1 vs Hardin-Simmons (9-2) L 24-54 |
| Oct 25 at Hardin-Simmons (9-2) L 14-68 | Oct 25 at Mary Hardin-Baylor (7-3) L 17-41 |
| Oct 18 at Louisiana Christian (8-3) L 6-38 | Oct 11 vs East Texas Baptist (4-6) W 36-18 |
| Oct 11 at OK Panhandle St (3-7) L 13-34 | Oct 4 at Hardin-Simmons (9-2) L 14-69 |
| Sep 27 vs Texas Wesleyan (7-5) L 21-37 | Sep 27 at McMurry (6-4) L 24-31 |
| Sep 20 at Arkansas Baptist (2-8) W 59-40 | Sep 20 vs Wayland Baptist (6-3) L 18-21 |
| Sep 13 vs Ottawa AZ (8-1) L 7-28 | Sep 13 at Texas Lutheran (6-4) W 28-18 |
| Aug 28 at MidAmerica Nazarene (7-4) L 13-37 | Sep 4 vs Pacific OR (3-7) W 21-13 |