Nelson TX at Howard Payne Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Howard Payne by 23.09
TOTAL POINTS
52
UPDATED
Sunday, September 13, 2026
RATINGS
*Ratings are relative to Division (FBS, FCS, D2, D3, NAIA)
Nelson
Howard Payne 
|
69
D+
|
Overall |
80
B-
|
|
68
D+
|
Power |
89
B+
|
|
66
D
|
Offensive |
89
B+
|
|
70
C-
|
Defensive |
88
B+
|
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
63
D-
|
|
92
A-
|
SoS (Future) |
79
C+
|
RANKINGS
NelsonNAIA
Howard PayneD3
| 73 #663 overall |
Overall | 113 #514 overall |
| 77 #656 overall |
Power | 59 #507 overall |
| 81 #663 overall |
Offensive | 59 #506 overall |
| 72 #640 overall |
Defensive | 66 #520 overall |
| 15 #358 overall |
SoS (Current) | 218 #732 overall |
| 17 #469 overall |
SoS (Future) | 120 #538 overall |
Howard PayneD3 #11391%Nelson TXNAIA #739%Wk 3 (Sep 13), 2026-27: Howard Payne 91%, Nelson TX 9% at Howard Payne.
Howard Payne's win probability against Nelson TX is trending up — from 76% to 85% over the last 6 updates.
Howard Payne's win probability against Nelson TX is trending up — from 80% to 88% over the last 6 updates.
Howard Payne's win probability against Nelson TX is trending up — from 84% to 91% over the last 6 updates.
Howard Payne favored
Nelson TX favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Nelson TX | Neutral | At Howard Payne |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 76% | 80% | 84% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 76% | 80% | 84% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 76% | 80% | 84% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 76% | 80% | 84% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 76% | 80% | 84% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 77% | 81% | 85% |
| Wk 1 | 2026-27 | 69% | 74% | 79% |
| Wk 2 | 2026-27 | 85% | 88% | 91% |
| Wk 3 | 2026-27 | 85% | 88% | 91% |
RECORDS
Nelson
Howard Payne
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Overall |
1-0 (100%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Home |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Away |
1-0 (100%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Own Division Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
1-0 (100%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Last 5 Games |
1-0 (100%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Nelson
Howard Payne
| None | Best Win | #714 Pacific OR |
| #415 MidAmerica Nazarene | Worst Loss | None |
| None | Largest MOV | 49 pts vs #714 Pacific OR |
| 21 pts vs #415 MidAmerica Nazarene | Largest MOD | None |
OTHER STATISTICS
Nelson
Howard Payne
| 11.5 | Points per Game | 49 |
| 29 | Points Against | 0 |
| 6 | Home PPG | 0 |
| 27 | Home PA | 0 |
| 17 | Away PPG | 49 |
| 31 | Away PA | 0 |
| 4-2 | Opponent Record | 0-2 |
| 376.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 714 |
| L 2 | Longest Streak | W 1 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Nelson
Howard Payne
| Sep 12 | at Ottawa AZ (2-1) | L17-31 | Sep 4 | at Pacific OR (0-2) | W49-0 |
| Aug 29 | vs MidAmerica Nazarene (2-1) | L6-27 |