Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Howard Payne 73%, East Texas Baptist 27% at Howard Payne.
Howard Payne's win probability against East Texas Baptist has swung between 54% and 76% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 62% now.
Howard Payne's win probability against East Texas Baptist has swung between 60% and 80% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 68% now.
Howard Payne's win probability against East Texas Baptist has swung between 66% and 84% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 73% now.