Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 10 (Nov 1), 2026-27: Houston 86%, Texas-San Antonio 14% at Houston.
Houston's win probability against Texas-San Antonio has swung between 57% and 86% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 78% now.
Houston's win probability against Texas-San Antonio has swung between 63% and 89% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 82% now.
Houston's win probability against Texas-San Antonio has swung between 69% and 91% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 86% now.