Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 11 (Nov 8), 2026-27: Villanova 58%, Holy Cross 42% at Holy Cross.
Villanova's win probability against Holy Cross has swung between 42% and 58% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 58% now.
Villanova's win probability against Holy Cross has swung between 49% and 64% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 64% now.
Villanova's win probability against Holy Cross has swung between 55% and 69% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 69% now.