Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Holy Cross 55%, Richmond 45% at Holy Cross.
Holy Cross' win probability against Richmond has swung between 30% and 47% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 43% now.
Holy Cross' win probability against Richmond has swung between 36% and 53% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 49% now.
Holy Cross' win probability against Richmond has swung between 41% and 59% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 55% now.