Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 6 (Oct 4), 2026-27: Hastings 55%, Mount Marty 45% at Hastings.
Hastings' win probability against Mount Marty has swung between 34% and 51% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 43% now.
Hastings' win probability against Mount Marty has swung between 40% and 57% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 49% now.
Hastings' win probability against Mount Marty is trending down — from 63% to 55% over the last 6 updates.