Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Geneva 53%, Allegheny 47% at Geneva.
Geneva's win probability against Allegheny has swung between 29% and 54% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 41% now.
Geneva's win probability against Allegheny has swung between 34% and 60% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 47% now.
Geneva's win probability against Allegheny has swung between 40% and 66% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 53% now.