Sacramento St at Fresno St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Fresno St by 38.5
TOTAL POINTS
50
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Sacramento St
Fresno St 
|
60
D-
|
Overall |
73
C-
|
|
60
D-
|
Power |
77
C+
|
|
60
D-
|
Offensive |
75
C
|
|
60
D-
|
Defensive |
79
C+
|
|
64
D
|
SoS (Current) |
67
D+
|
|
67
D+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
73
C-
|
|
60
D-
|
SoR (Current) |
75
C
|
|
60
D-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
74
C
|
RANKINGS
Sacramento St
Fresno St
| 138 #432 overall |
Overall | 94 #122 overall |
| 138 #208 overall |
Power | 78 #78 overall |
| 138 #222 overall |
Offensive | 85 #86 overall |
| 138 #202 overall |
Defensive | 73 #73 overall |
| 123 #137 overall |
SoS (Current) | 115 #126 overall |
| 114 #117 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 91 #91 overall |
Fresno St#9498%
Sacramento St#1382%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Fresno St 98%, Sacramento St 2% at Fresno St.
Fresno St's win probability against Sacramento St is trending up — from 89% to 97% over the last 6 weeks.
Fresno St's win probability against Sacramento St is trending up — from 92% to 97% over the last 6 weeks.
Fresno St's win probability against Sacramento St is trending up — from 94% to 98% over the last 6 weeks.
Fresno St favored
Sacramento St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Sacramento St | Neutral | At Fresno St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 80% | 84% | 88% |
| Wk 1 | 75% | 80% | 84% |
| Wk 2 | 73% | 78% | 82% |
| Wk 3 | 89% | 92% | 94% |
| Wk 4 | 90% | 92% | 94% |
| Wk 5 | 92% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 6 | 93% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 7 | 97% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 8 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 9 | 97% | 97% | 98% |
RECORDS
Sacramento St
Fresno St
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
1-7 (12.5%) |
Overall |
4-3 (57.1%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Home |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Away |
2-2 (50%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-2 (33.3%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
3-1 (75%) |
|
0-5 (0%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Sacramento St
Fresno St
| #494 Mississippi Valley St | Best Win | #168 San Jose St |
| #243 Massachusetts | Worst Loss | #107 San Diego St |
| 52 pts vs #494 Mississippi Valley St | Largest MOV | 46 pts vs #432 Sacramento St |
| 46 pts vs #122 Fresno St | Largest MOD | 39 pts vs #35 Southern Cal |
OTHER STATISTICS
Sacramento St
Fresno St
| 15.3 | Points per Game | 27.6 |
| 32.9 | Points Against | 20.9 |
| 18.8 | Home PPG | 39.3 |
| 28.5 | Home PA | 21.7 |
| 11.8 | Away PPG | 18.8 |
| 37.3 | Away PA | 20.3 |
| 32-32 | Opponent Record | 22-33 |
| 193.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 188.4 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| L 6 | Current Streak | L 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Sacramento St
Fresno St
| Oct 24 | at Ball St (3-5) | L17-34 | Oct 17 | at San Diego St (3-5) | L23-26 |
| Oct 17 | vs Ohio U. (6-2) | L7-48 | Oct 10 | vs #24 Boise St (6-1) | L31-38 |
| Oct 10 | at Bowling Green (2-6) | L10-38 | Oct 3 | at Washington St (1-7) | W26-6 |
| Sep 26 | vs Massachusetts (4-4) | L6-35 | Sep 26 | vs Rice (1-7) | W38-24 |
| Sep 19 | vs North Dakota St (6-2) | L10-31 | Sep 19 | at San Jose St (4-4) | W26-10 |
| Sep 12 | at Fresno St (4-3) | L3-49 | Sep 12 | vs Sacramento St (1-7) | W49-3 |
| Sep 5 | vs Mississippi Valley St (3-5) | W52-0 | Sep 4 | at Southern Cal (6-2) | L0-39 |
| Aug 29 | at Eastern Michigan (4-5) | L17-28 |