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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Fresno St 81%, Rice 19% at Fresno St.
Fresno St's win probability against Rice has swung between 65% and 76% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 71% now.
Fresno St's win probability against Rice has swung between 70% and 81% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 76% now.
Fresno St's win probability against Rice has swung between 75% and 84% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 81% now.