Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Villanova 64%, Fordham 36% at Fordham.
Villanova's win probability against Fordham has swung between 42% and 73% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 64% now.
Villanova's win probability against Fordham has swung between 48% and 78% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 70% now.
Villanova's win probability against Fordham has swung between 54% and 82% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 75% now.