SMU at Florida St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Florida St by 2.4
TOTAL POINTS
57
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Florida St
SMU 
|
78
C+
|
Overall |
91
A-
|
|
88
B+
|
Power |
88
B+
|
|
89
B+
|
Offensive |
89
B+
|
|
86
B
|
Defensive |
86
B
|
|
86
B
|
SoS (Current) |
79
C+
|
|
87
B+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
83
B-
|
|
82
B-
|
SoR (Current) |
92
A-
|
|
84
B
|
SoR (Full Season) |
92
A-
|
RANKINGS
Florida St
SMU
| 74 #88 overall |
Overall | 29 #29 overall |
| 41 #41 overall |
Power | 38 #38 overall |
| 35 #35 overall |
Offensive | 37 #37 overall |
| 48 #48 overall |
Defensive | 47 #47 overall |
| 47 #47 overall |
SoS (Current) | 71 #71 overall |
| 43 #43 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 58 #58 overall |
Florida St#7456%
SMU#2944%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Florida St 56%, SMU 44% at Florida St.
Florida St's win probability against SMU has swung between 29% and 68% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 43% now.
Florida St's win probability against SMU has swung between 34% and 73% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 49% now.
Florida St's win probability against SMU has swung between 40% and 78% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 56% now.
Florida St favored
SMU favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At SMU | Neutral | At Florida St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 39% | 45% | 51% |
| Wk 1 | 38% | 44% | 50% |
| Wk 2 | 36% | 42% | 48% |
| Wk 3 | 29% | 34% | 40% |
| Wk 4 | 35% | 41% | 47% |
| Wk 5 | 48% | 54% | 60% |
| Wk 6 | 68% | 73% | 78% |
| Wk 7 | 63% | 68% | 74% |
| Wk 8 | 54% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 9 | 43% | 49% | 56% |
RECORDS
Florida St
SMU
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
3-4 (42.9%) |
Overall |
6-1 (85.7%) |
|
3-1 (75%) |
Home |
5-0 (100%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Away |
1-1 (50%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-1 (75%) |
|
2-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
3-0 (100%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Florida St
SMU
| #110 Virginia | Best Win | #66 Boston College |
| #43 Louisville | Worst Loss | #43 Louisville |
| 31 pts vs #110 Virginia | Largest MOV | 46 pts vs #178 UC-Davis |
| 24 pts vs #43 Louisville | Largest MOD | 10 pts vs #43 Louisville |
OTHER STATISTICS
Florida St
SMU
| 31.6 | Points per Game | 36.4 |
| 27.9 | Points Against | 21.1 |
| 32.5 | Home PPG | 39.4 |
| 14.5 | Home PA | 16.6 |
| 30.3 | Away PPG | 29 |
| 45.7 | Away PA | 32.5 |
| 32-20 | Opponent Record | 25-27 |
| 111 | Avg Opponent Rank | 125.9 |
| L 2 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | W 4 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Florida St
SMU
| Oct 17 | at #3 Miami FL (7-0) | L35-43 | Oct 24 | vs California (3-5) | W59-20 |
| Oct 9 | at Louisville (4-3) | L20-44 | Oct 17 | vs Virginia (4-4) | W23-13 |
| Oct 3 | vs Virginia (4-4) | W38-7 | Oct 3 | vs Boston College (4-3) | W25-16 |
| Sep 26 | vs Central Arkansas (2-6) | W34-7 | Sep 26 | vs Missouri St (2-5) | W34-24 |
| Sep 19 | at #8 Alabama (6-2) | L36-50 | Sep 19 | at Louisville (4-3) | L31-41 |
| Sep 7 | vs SMU (6-1) | L24-27 | Sep 12 | vs UC-Davis (5-3) | W56-10 |
| Aug 29 | vs New Mexico St (3-4) | W34-17 | Sep 7 | at Florida St (3-4) | W27-24 |