North Carolina St at Florida St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Florida St by 12.5
TOTAL POINTS
59
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
North Carolina St
Florida St 
|
76
C
|
Overall |
78
C+
|
|
79
C+
|
Power |
88
B+
|
|
82
B-
|
Offensive |
89
B+
|
|
77
C+
|
Defensive |
86
B
|
|
91
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
86
B
|
|
88
B+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
87
B+
|
|
74
C
|
SoR (Current) |
82
B-
|
|
76
C
|
SoR (Full Season) |
84
B
|
RANKINGS
North Carolina St
Florida St
| 83 #100 overall |
Overall | 74 #88 overall |
| 70 #70 overall |
Power | 41 #41 overall |
| 60 #60 overall |
Offensive | 35 #35 overall |
| 80 #80 overall |
Defensive | 48 #48 overall |
| 29 #29 overall |
SoS (Current) | 47 #47 overall |
| 40 #40 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 43 #43 overall |
Florida St#7477%
North Carolina St#8323%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Florida St 77%, North Carolina St 23% at Florida St.
Florida St's win probability against North Carolina St is trending up — from 42% to 66% over the last 6 weeks.
Florida St's win probability against North Carolina St is trending up — from 48% to 72% over the last 6 weeks.
Florida St's win probability against North Carolina St is trending up — from 54% to 77% over the last 6 weeks.
Florida St favored
North Carolina St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At North Carolina St | Neutral | At Florida St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 60% | 65% | 71% |
| Wk 1 | 61% | 67% | 72% |
| Wk 2 | 64% | 69% | 74% |
| Wk 3 | 42% | 48% | 54% |
| Wk 4 | 44% | 50% | 56% |
| Wk 5 | 35% | 41% | 47% |
| Wk 6 | 63% | 69% | 74% |
| Wk 7 | 58% | 64% | 69% |
| Wk 8 | 60% | 66% | 72% |
| Wk 9 | 66% | 72% | 77% |
RECORDS
North Carolina St
Florida St
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
3-4 (42.9%) |
Overall |
3-4 (42.9%) |
|
3-1 (75%) |
Home |
3-1 (75%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Away |
0-3 (0%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
3-3 (50%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-4 (20%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
2-0 (100%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
2-3 (40%) |
SUPERLATIVES
North Carolina St
Florida St
| #43 Louisville | Best Win | #110 Virginia |
| #110 Virginia | Worst Loss | #43 Louisville |
| 73 pts vs #174 Richmond | Largest MOV | 31 pts vs #110 Virginia |
| 26 pts vs #110 Virginia | Largest MOD | 24 pts vs #43 Louisville |
OTHER STATISTICS
North Carolina St
Florida St
| 32.3 | Points per Game | 31.6 |
| 28.1 | Points Against | 27.9 |
| 39.8 | Home PPG | 32.5 |
| 24.3 | Home PA | 14.5 |
| 22.3 | Away PPG | 30.3 |
| 33.3 | Away PA | 45.7 |
| 32-21 | Opponent Record | 32-20 |
| 87.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 111 |
| W 2 | Longest Streak | L 2 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
North Carolina St
Florida St
| Oct 23 | at Stanford (4-4) | L28-31 | Oct 17 | at #3 Miami FL (7-0) | L35-43 |
| Oct 10 | vs #16 Wake Forest (6-1) | L14-38 | Oct 9 | at Louisville (4-3) | L20-44 |
| Oct 3 | vs Louisville (4-3) | W31-28 | Oct 3 | vs Virginia (4-4) | W38-7 |
| Sep 26 | vs Appalachian St (5-2) | W41-31 | Sep 26 | vs Central Arkansas (2-6) | W34-7 |
| Sep 19 | at Vanderbilt (3-5) | L31-35 | Sep 19 | at #8 Alabama (6-2) | L36-50 |
| Sep 11 | vs Richmond (6-2) | W73-0 | Sep 7 | vs SMU (6-1) | L24-27 |
| Aug 29 | at Virginia (4-4) | L8-34 | Aug 29 | vs New Mexico St (3-4) | W34-17 |