New Mexico St at Florida St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Florida St by 27.32
TOTAL POINTS
55
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
New Mexico St
Florida St 
|
64
D
|
Overall |
78
C+
|
|
67
D+
|
Power |
88
B+
|
|
68
D+
|
Offensive |
89
B+
|
|
67
D+
|
Defensive |
86
B
|
|
61
D-
|
SoS (Current) |
86
B
|
|
62
D-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
87
B+
|
|
68
D+
|
SoR (Current) |
82
B-
|
|
66
D
|
SoR (Full Season) |
84
B
|
RANKINGS
New Mexico St
Florida St
| 124 #250 overall |
Overall | 74 #88 overall |
| 113 #119 overall |
Power | 41 #41 overall |
| 111 #120 overall |
Offensive | 35 #35 overall |
| 113 #119 overall |
Defensive | 48 #48 overall |
| 135 #175 overall |
SoS (Current) | 47 #47 overall |
| 131 #146 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 43 #43 overall |
Florida St#7494%
New Mexico St#1246%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Florida St 94%, New Mexico St 6% at Florida St.
Florida St's win probability against New Mexico St has held at 90% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Florida St's win probability against New Mexico St has held at 92% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Florida St's win probability against New Mexico St has held at 94% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Florida St favored
New Mexico St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At New Mexico St | Neutral | At Florida St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 95% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 1 | 88% | 91% | 93% |
| Wk 2 | 91% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 3 | 90% | 92% | 94% |
| Wk 4 | 89% | 91% | 93% |
| Wk 5 | 88% | 91% | 93% |
| Wk 6 | 91% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 7 | 89% | 92% | 94% |
| Wk 8 | 90% | 92% | 94% |
| Wk 9 | 90% | 92% | 94% |
RECORDS
New Mexico St
Florida St
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
3-4 (42.9%) |
Overall |
3-4 (42.9%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Home |
3-1 (75%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Away |
0-3 (0%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-4 (20%) |
|
3-3 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
2-0 (100%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
2-3 (40%) |
SUPERLATIVES
New Mexico St
Florida St
| #222 Western Kentucky | Best Win | #110 Virginia |
| #248 Hawai`i | Worst Loss | #43 Louisville |
| 37 pts vs #548 Mercyhurst | Largest MOV | 31 pts vs #110 Virginia |
| 24 pts vs #41 New Mexico | Largest MOD | 24 pts vs #43 Louisville |
OTHER STATISTICS
New Mexico St
Florida St
| 24.6 | Points per Game | 31.6 |
| 25.4 | Points Against | 27.9 |
| 34.3 | Home PPG | 32.5 |
| 23 | Home PA | 14.5 |
| 17.3 | Away PPG | 30.3 |
| 27.3 | Away PA | 45.7 |
| 19-32 | Opponent Record | 32-20 |
| 244.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 111 |
| L 2 | Longest Streak | L 2 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
New Mexico St
Florida St
| Oct 21 | at Sam Houston St (1-6) | W30-24 | Oct 17 | at #3 Miami FL (7-0) | L35-43 |
| Oct 7 | at Florida Int'l (3-4) | L3-22 | Oct 9 | at Louisville (4-3) | L20-44 |
| Oct 1 | vs Western Kentucky (3-4) | W34-13 | Oct 3 | vs Virginia (4-4) | W38-7 |
| Sep 26 | vs New Mexico (6-1) | L18-42 | Sep 26 | vs Central Arkansas (2-6) | W34-7 |
| Sep 12 | at Hawai`i (2-6) | L19-29 | Sep 19 | at #8 Alabama (6-2) | L36-50 |
| Sep 5 | vs Mercyhurst (1-7) | W51-14 | Sep 7 | vs SMU (6-1) | L24-27 |
| Aug 29 | at Florida St (3-4) | L17-34 | Aug 29 | vs New Mexico St (3-4) | W34-17 |