Florida at Florida St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Florida by 6.01
TOTAL POINTS
62
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Florida St
Florida 
|
78
C+
|
Overall |
96
A
|
|
88
B+
|
Power |
94
A
|
|
89
B+
|
Offensive |
97
A+
|
|
86
B
|
Defensive |
90
A-
|
|
86
B
|
SoS (Current) |
99
A+
|
|
87
B+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
98
A+
|
|
82
B-
|
SoR (Current) |
95
A
|
|
84
B
|
SoR (Full Season) |
96
A
|
RANKINGS
Florida St
Florida
| 74 #88 overall |
Overall | 12 #12 overall |
| 41 #41 overall |
Power | 17 #17 overall |
| 35 #35 overall |
Offensive | 9 #9 overall |
| 48 #48 overall |
Defensive | 33 #33 overall |
| 47 #47 overall |
SoS (Current) | 2 #2 overall |
| 43 #43 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 3 #3 overall |
Florida#1264%
Florida St#7436%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Florida 64%, Florida St 36% at Florida St.
Florida's win probability against Florida St has swung between 54% and 87% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 64% now.
Florida's win probability against Florida St has swung between 60% and 90% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 69% now.
Florida's win probability against Florida St has swung between 66% and 92% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 75% now.
Florida favored
Florida St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Florida St | Neutral | At Florida |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 46% | 53% | 59% |
| Wk 1 | 48% | 54% | 60% |
| Wk 2 | 58% | 64% | 70% |
| Wk 3 | 67% | 72% | 77% |
| Wk 4 | 73% | 78% | 82% |
| Wk 5 | 87% | 90% | 92% |
| Wk 6 | 54% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 7 | 64% | 70% | 75% |
| Wk 8 | 65% | 71% | 76% |
| Wk 9 | 64% | 69% | 75% |
RECORDS
Florida St
Florida
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
3-4 (42.9%) |
Overall |
5-2 (71.4%) |
|
3-1 (75%) |
Home |
3-1 (75%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Away |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
5-2 (71.4%) |
|
2-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
0-0 (0%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Florida St
Florida
| #110 Virginia | Best Win | #4 Texas |
| #43 Louisville | Worst Loss | #27 Missouri |
| 31 pts vs #110 Virginia | Largest MOV | 49 pts vs #109 Campbell |
| 24 pts vs #43 Louisville | Largest MOD | 28 pts vs #27 Missouri |
OTHER STATISTICS
Florida St
Florida
| 31.6 | Points per Game | 39.6 |
| 27.9 | Points Against | 28.3 |
| 32.5 | Home PPG | 47.3 |
| 14.5 | Home PA | 22.5 |
| 30.3 | Away PPG | 29.3 |
| 45.7 | Away PA | 36 |
| 32-20 | Opponent Record | 35-15 |
| 111 | Avg Opponent Rank | 42.4 |
| L 2 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Florida St
Florida
| Oct 17 | at #3 Miami FL (7-0) | L35-43 | Oct 17 | at #4 Texas (5-2) | W27-24 |
| Oct 9 | at Louisville (4-3) | L20-44 | Oct 10 | vs #23 South Carolina (4-3) | L19-38 |
| Oct 3 | vs Virginia (4-4) | W38-7 | Oct 3 | at Missouri (5-2) | L17-45 |
| Sep 26 | vs Central Arkansas (2-6) | W34-7 | Sep 26 | vs #13 Mississippi (5-2) | W52-28 |
| Sep 19 | at #8 Alabama (6-2) | L36-50 | Sep 19 | at Auburn (4-3) | W44-39 |
| Sep 7 | vs SMU (6-1) | L24-27 | Sep 12 | vs Campbell (7-1) | W52-3 |
| Aug 29 | vs New Mexico St (3-4) | W34-17 | Sep 5 | vs Florida Atlantic (5-2) | W66-21 |