Central Arkansas at Florida St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Florida St by 44.47
TOTAL POINTS
57
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
*Ratings are relative to Division (FBS, FCS, D2, D3, NAIA)
Central Arkansas
Florida St 
|
75
C
|
Overall |
78
C+
|
|
87
B+
|
Power |
88
B+
|
|
88
B+
|
Offensive |
89
B+
|
|
85
B
|
Defensive |
86
B
|
|
95
A
|
SoS (Current) |
86
B
|
|
92
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
87
B+
|
|
75
C
|
SoR (Current) |
82
B-
|
|
78
C+
|
SoR (Full Season) |
84
B
|
RANKINGS
Central ArkansasFCS
Florida StFBS
| 79 #334 overall |
Overall | 74 #88 overall |
| 39 #179 overall |
Power | 41 #41 overall |
| 37 #176 overall |
Offensive | 35 #35 overall |
| 45 #185 overall |
Defensive | 48 #48 overall |
| 14 #140 overall |
SoS (Current) | 47 #47 overall |
| 23 #159 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 43 #43 overall |
Florida StFBS #7499%
Central ArkansasFCS #791%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Florida St 99%, Central Arkansas 1% at Florida St.
Florida St's win probability against Central Arkansas has swung between 92% and 98% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 98% now.
Florida St's win probability against Central Arkansas has held at 98% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Florida St's win probability against Central Arkansas has held at 99% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Florida St favored
Central Arkansas favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Central Arkansas | Neutral | At Florida St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 98% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 1 | 93% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 2 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 3 | 96% | 97% | 97% |
| Wk 4 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 5 | 92% | 94% | 95% |
| Wk 6 | 97% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 7 | 97% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 8 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 9 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
RECORDS
Central Arkansas
Florida St
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
2-6 (25%) |
Overall |
3-4 (42.9%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Home |
3-1 (75%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Away |
0-3 (0%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Versus Own Division Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
0-5 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-4 (20%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
2-0 (100%) |
|
0-5 (0%) |
Last 5 Games |
2-3 (40%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Central Arkansas
Florida St
| #329 Tennessee-Martin | Best Win | #110 Virginia |
| #238 Texas-Rio Grande Valley | Worst Loss | #43 Louisville |
| 39 pts vs #350 Central Oklahoma | Largest MOV | 31 pts vs #110 Virginia |
| 28 pts vs #185 West Florida | Largest MOD | 24 pts vs #43 Louisville |
OTHER STATISTICS
Central Arkansas
Florida St
| 25.1 | Points per Game | 31.6 |
| 30.8 | Points Against | 27.9 |
| 33.3 | Home PPG | 32.5 |
| 30.7 | Home PA | 14.5 |
| 20.2 | Away PPG | 30.3 |
| 30.8 | Away PA | 45.7 |
| 34-28 | Opponent Record | 32-20 |
| 195.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 111 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | L 2 |
| L 5 | Current Streak | L 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Central Arkansas
Florida St
| Oct 24 | vs Texas-Rio Grande Valley (4-4) | L27-30 | Oct 17 | at #3 Miami FL (7-0) | L35-43 |
| Oct 17 | at Tarleton St (8-0) | L35-49 | Oct 9 | at Louisville (4-3) | L20-44 |
| Oct 10 | at Abilene Christian (4-4) | L14-20 | Oct 3 | vs Virginia (4-4) | W38-7 |
| Sep 26 | at Florida St (3-4) | L7-34 | Sep 26 | vs Central Arkansas (2-6) | W34-7 |
| Sep 19 | at SE Missouri St (5-3) | L9-27 | Sep 19 | at #8 Alabama (6-2) | L36-50 |
| Sep 12 | vs Central Oklahoma (3-5) | W59-20 | Sep 7 | vs SMU (6-1) | L24-27 |
| Sep 5 | vs West Florida (4-3) | L14-42 | Aug 29 | vs New Mexico St (3-4) | W34-17 |
| Aug 27 | at Tennessee-Martin (3-5) | W36-24 |