Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Edward Waters 51%, Kentucky St 49% at Edward Waters.
Edward Waters' win probability against Kentucky St is trending up — from 28% to 39% over the last 6 weeks.
Edward Waters' win probability against Kentucky St has swung between 22% and 45% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 45% now.
Edward Waters' win probability against Kentucky St has swung between 26% and 52% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 51% now.