Dayton at Eastern Kentucky Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Eastern Kentucky by 10.7
TOTAL POINTS
49
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
Eastern Kentucky
Dayton 
|
83
B-
|
Overall |
89
B+
|
|
79
C+
|
Power |
69
D+
|
|
77
C+
|
Offensive |
69
D+
|
|
80
B-
|
Defensive |
70
C-
|
|
94
A
|
SoS (Current) |
61
D-
|
|
96
A
|
SoS (Full Season) |
60
D-
|
|
80
B-
|
SoR (Current) |
86
B
|
|
81
B-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
79
C+
|
RANKINGS
Eastern Kentucky
Dayton
| 52 #244 overall |
Overall | 33 #187 overall |
| 67 #212 overall |
Power | 99 #262 overall |
| 74 #228 overall |
Offensive | 100 #269 overall |
| 63 #204 overall |
Defensive | 96 #254 overall |
| 17 #144 overall |
SoS (Current) | 125 #413 overall |
| 10 #132 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 128 #446 overall |
Eastern Kentucky#5273%
Dayton#3327%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Eastern Kentucky 73%, Dayton 27% at Eastern Kentucky.
Eastern Kentucky's win probability against Dayton has swung between 37% and 70% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 62% now.
Eastern Kentucky's win probability against Dayton has swung between 43% and 75% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 68% now.
Eastern Kentucky's win probability against Dayton has swung between 49% and 80% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 73% now.
Eastern Kentucky favored
Dayton favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Dayton | Neutral | At Eastern Kentucky |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 81% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 1 | 67% | 73% | 78% |
| Wk 2 | 65% | 71% | 76% |
| Wk 3 | 57% | 63% | 69% |
| Wk 4 | 45% | 51% | 57% |
| Wk 5 | 37% | 43% | 49% |
| Wk 6 | 47% | 53% | 60% |
| Wk 7 | 70% | 75% | 80% |
| Wk 8 | 62% | 68% | 73% |
| Wk 9 | 62% | 68% | 73% |
RECORDS
Eastern Kentucky
Dayton
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
3-5 (37.5%) |
Overall |
6-1 (85.7%) |
|
3-2 (60%) |
Home |
4-0 (100%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Away |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
2-4 (33.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-0 (100%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
5-1 (83.3%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Eastern Kentucky
Dayton
| #172 Chattanooga | Best Win | #175 Butler |
| #215 North Alabama | Worst Loss | #458 Drake |
| 10 pts vs #506 West Georgia | Largest MOV | 28 pts vs #572 Morehead St |
| 42 pts vs #83 Jacksonville St | Largest MOD | 8 pts vs #458 Drake |
OTHER STATISTICS
Eastern Kentucky
Dayton
| 18.3 | Points per Game | 32 |
| 28.8 | Points Against | 20 |
| 19.6 | Home PPG | 41.5 |
| 17.4 | Home PA | 21.8 |
| 16 | Away PPG | 19.3 |
| 47.7 | Away PA | 17.7 |
| 35-26 | Opponent Record | 20-36 |
| 206 | Avg Opponent Rank | 421.1 |
| L 2 | Longest Streak | W 3 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | W 3 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Eastern Kentucky
Dayton
| Oct 24 | vs West Florida (4-3) | W16-13 | Oct 24 | vs San Diego (3-5) | W37-32 |
| Oct 17 | at Tennessee Tech (7-1) | L20-49 | Oct 17 | at Butler (6-2) | W19-9 |
| Oct 10 | vs West Georgia (1-7) | W30-20 | Oct 10 | vs Morehead St (2-6) | W56-28 |
| Oct 3 | vs North Alabama (4-4) | L16-20 | Oct 3 | at Drake (2-6) | L22-30 |
| Sep 19 | vs Dayton (6-1) | L14-17 | Sep 19 | at Eastern Kentucky (3-5) | W17-14 |
| Sep 12 | vs Chattanooga (5-3) | W22-17 | Sep 12 | vs Thomas More (2-6) | W30-7 |
| Sep 5 | at Jacksonville St (5-2) | L7-49 | Aug 29 | vs Fairmont St (2-6) | W43-20 |
| Aug 29 | at Western Carolina (3-5) | L21-45 |