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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: South Florida 60%, East Carolina 40% at East Carolina.
South Florida's win probability against East Carolina has swung between 51% and 67% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 60% now.
South Florida's win probability against East Carolina has swung between 57% and 72% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 66% now.
South Florida's win probability against East Carolina has swung between 63% and 77% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 71% now.