Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Appalachian St 51%, East Carolina 49% at East Carolina.
Appalachian St's win probability against East Carolina has swung between 33% and 51% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 51% now.
Appalachian St's win probability against East Carolina has swung between 39% and 57% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 57% now.
Appalachian St's win probability against East Carolina has swung between 45% and 63% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 63% now.