Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Duquesne 66%, Mercyhurst 34% at Duquesne.
Duquesne's win probability against Mercyhurst has swung between 40% and 54% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 54% now.
Duquesne's win probability against Mercyhurst has swung between 46% and 60% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 60% now.
Duquesne's win probability against Mercyhurst has swung between 52% and 66% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 66% now.