Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
See this week's FBS predictions →
Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Duke 99%, William & Mary 1% at Duke.
Duke's win probability against William & Mary has held at 99% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.