North Carolina at Duke Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Duke by 0.19
TOTAL POINTS
49
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
North Carolina
Duke 
|
85
B
|
Overall |
85
B
|
|
86
B
|
Power |
85
B
|
|
84
B
|
Offensive |
81
B-
|
|
89
B+
|
Defensive |
87
B+
|
|
95
A
|
SoS (Current) |
80
B-
|
|
91
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
85
B
|
|
88
B+
|
SoR (Current) |
86
B
|
|
89
B+
|
SoR (Full Season) |
85
B
|
RANKINGS
North Carolina
Duke
| 50 #52 overall |
Overall | 49 #51 overall |
| 46 #46 overall |
Power | 51 #51 overall |
| 52 #52 overall |
Offensive | 63 #63 overall |
| 36 #36 overall |
Defensive | 42 #42 overall |
| 16 #16 overall |
SoS (Current) | 68 #68 overall |
| 28 #28 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 49 #49 overall |
North Carolina#5050%
Duke#4950%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: North Carolina 50%, Duke 50% at Duke.
North Carolina's win probability against Duke has swung between 24% and 62% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 50% now.
North Carolina's win probability against Duke has swung between 29% and 68% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 56% now.
North Carolina's win probability against Duke has swung between 35% and 73% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 62% now.
North Carolina favored
Duke favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Duke | Neutral | At North Carolina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 36% | 42% | 48% |
| Wk 1 | 40% | 47% | 53% |
| Wk 2 | 37% | 43% | 49% |
| Wk 3 | 38% | 44% | 51% |
| Wk 4 | 24% | 29% | 35% |
| Wk 5 | 29% | 34% | 40% |
| Wk 6 | 50% | 56% | 62% |
| Wk 7 | 62% | 68% | 73% |
| Wk 8 | 55% | 61% | 67% |
| Wk 9 | 50% | 56% | 62% |
RECORDS
North Carolina
Duke
|
1-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-1 (0%) |
|
4-3 (57.1%) |
Overall |
5-2 (71.4%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Home |
3-1 (75%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Away |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
3-2 (60%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-1 (75%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
North Carolina
Duke
| #51 Duke | Best Win | #40 Illinois |
| #127 Syracuse | Worst Loss | #129 Georgia Tech |
| 32 pts vs #128 East Tennessee St | Largest MOV | 55 pts vs #379 William & Mary |
| 11 pts vs #10 Notre Dame | Largest MOD | 4 pts vs #52 North Carolina |
OTHER STATISTICS
North Carolina
Duke
| 24.4 | Points per Game | 29.9 |
| 20.9 | Points Against | 16 |
| 30.3 | Home PPG | 33.5 |
| 23.7 | Home PA | 10.3 |
| 21.7 | Away PPG | 25 |
| 21.7 | Away PA | 23.7 |
| 32-19 | Opponent Record | 24-28 |
| 72.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 124.9 |
| W 2 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
North Carolina
Duke
| Oct 24 | vs Syracuse (3-4) | L30-31 | Oct 23 | at Virginia (4-4) | W19-16 |
| Oct 17 | at Duke (5-2) | W24-20 | Oct 17 | vs North Carolina (4-3) | L20-24 |
| Oct 10 | at Pittsburgh (5-3) | W21-17 | Oct 10 | at Georgia Tech (2-5) | L25-28 |
| Oct 3 | vs #10 Notre Dame (6-1) | L26-37 | Sep 26 | vs William & Mary (3-5) | W62-7 |
| Sep 19 | at Clemson (4-3) | L20-28 | Sep 19 | vs Stanford (4-4) | W35-7 |
| Sep 12 | vs East Tennessee St (6-2) | W35-3 | Sep 12 | at Illinois (4-3) | W31-27 |
| Aug 29 | TCU (3-4) | W15-10 | Sep 5 | vs Tulane (3-4) | W17-3 |