Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: San Diego 56%, Drake 44% at Drake.
San Diego's win probability against Drake has swung between 38% and 70% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 56% now.
San Diego's win probability against Drake has swung between 44% and 75% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 62% now.
San Diego's win probability against Drake has swung between 50% and 80% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 67% now.