Dayton at Drake Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Dayton by 8.66
TOTAL POINTS
57
UPDATED
Sunday, November 8, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
Drake
Dayton 
|
66
D
|
Overall |
91
A-
|
|
63
D-
|
Power |
70
C-
|
|
64
D
|
Offensive |
72
C-
|
|
63
D-
|
Defensive |
69
D+
|
|
72
C-
|
SoS (Current) |
61
D-
|
|
75
C
|
SoS (Full Season) |
60
D-
|
|
62
D-
|
SoR (Current) |
88
B+
|
|
62
D-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
87
B+
|
RANKINGS
Drake
Dayton
| 110 #456 overall |
Overall | 27 #170 overall |
| 119 #333 overall |
Power | 96 #258 overall |
| 115 #312 overall |
Offensive | 89 #256 overall |
| 119 #354 overall |
Defensive | 98 #260 overall |
| 88 #253 overall |
SoS (Current) | 125 #413 overall |
| 79 #240 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 128 #414 overall |
Dayton#2769%
Drake#11031%Wk 11 (Nov 8), 2026-27: Dayton 69%, Drake 31% at Drake.
Dayton's win probability against Drake has swung between 56% and 72% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 69% now.
Dayton's win probability against Drake has swung between 62% and 77% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 75% now.
Dayton's win probability against Drake has swung between 68% and 82% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 79% now.
Dayton favored
Drake favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Drake | Neutral | At Dayton |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 28% | 33% | 39% |
| Wk 1 | 38% | 44% | 50% |
| Wk 2 | 39% | 45% | 51% |
| Wk 3 | 58% | 64% | 70% |
| Wk 4 | 78% | 82% | 86% |
| Wk 5 | 72% | 77% | 82% |
| Wk 6 | 60% | 66% | 71% |
| Wk 7 | 56% | 62% | 68% |
| Wk 8 | 64% | 69% | 75% |
| Wk 9 | 65% | 71% | 76% |
| Wk 10 | 63% | 69% | 74% |
| Wk 11 | 69% | 75% | 79% |
RECORDS
Drake
Dayton
|
1-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-1 (0%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Overall |
8-1 (88.9%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Home |
5-0 (100%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Away |
3-1 (75%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
1-0 (100%) |
|
1-5 (16.7%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-0 (100%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
6-1 (85.7%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Last 5 Games |
5-0 (100%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Drake
Dayton
| #170 Dayton | Best Win | #146 Butler |
| #425 Marist | Worst Loss | #456 Drake |
| 19 pts vs #497 Davidson | Largest MOV | 28 pts vs #588 Morehead St |
| 42 pts vs #182 Northern Iowa | Largest MOD | 8 pts vs #456 Drake |
OTHER STATISTICS
Drake
Dayton
| 25.8 | Points per Game | 33.2 |
| 34.9 | Points Against | 21.6 |
| 25 | Home PPG | 39.4 |
| 32 | Home PA | 21.4 |
| 26.6 | Away PPG | 25.5 |
| 37.8 | Away PA | 21.8 |
| 52-45 | Opponent Record | 31-58 |
| 321.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 427.6 |
| L 3 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | W 5 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Drake
Dayton
| Nov 7 | vs San Diego (5-5) | L17-40 | Nov 7 | vs Valparaiso (4-5) | W31-20 |
| Oct 31 | at Morehead St (2-8) | W45-35 | Oct 31 | at Stetson (1-9) | W44-34 |
| Oct 24 | vs Butler (8-2) | L21-33 | Oct 24 | vs San Diego (5-5) | W37-32 |
| Oct 17 | vs Marist (5-5) | L22-27 | Oct 17 | at Butler (8-2) | W19-9 |
| Oct 10 | at Valparaiso (4-5) | L13-21 | Oct 10 | vs Morehead St (2-8) | W56-28 |
| Oct 3 | vs Dayton (8-1) | W30-22 | Oct 3 | at Drake (3-7) | L22-30 |
| Sep 26 | at Davidson (4-6) | W51-32 | Sep 19 | at Eastern Kentucky (3-7) | W17-14 |
| Sep 12 | at Northern Iowa (4-5) | L14-56 | Sep 12 | vs Thomas More (2-8) | W30-7 |
| Sep 5 | at Montana (7-3) | L10-45 | Aug 29 | vs Fairmont St (3-7) | W43-20 |
| Aug 27 | vs South Dakota Tech (5-5) | L35-38 |