Dayton at Drake Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Dayton by 6.79
TOTAL POINTS
55
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
Drake
Dayton 
|
66
D
|
Overall |
89
B+
|
|
63
D-
|
Power |
69
D+
|
|
64
D
|
Offensive |
69
D+
|
|
63
D-
|
Defensive |
70
C-
|
|
76
C
|
SoS (Current) |
61
D-
|
|
73
C-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
60
D-
|
|
62
D-
|
SoR (Current) |
86
B
|
|
62
D-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
79
C+
|
RANKINGS
Drake
Dayton
| 110 #458 overall |
Overall | 33 #187 overall |
| 117 #318 overall |
Power | 99 #262 overall |
| 114 #302 overall |
Offensive | 100 #269 overall |
| 117 #339 overall |
Defensive | 96 #254 overall |
| 77 #229 overall |
SoS (Current) | 125 #413 overall |
| 85 #242 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 128 #446 overall |
Dayton#3365%
Drake#11035%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Dayton 65%, Drake 35% at Drake.
Dayton's win probability against Drake has swung between 56% and 78% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 65% now.
Dayton's win probability against Drake has swung between 62% and 82% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 71% now.
Dayton's win probability against Drake has swung between 68% and 86% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 76% now.
Dayton favored
Drake favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Drake | Neutral | At Dayton |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 28% | 33% | 39% |
| Wk 1 | 38% | 44% | 50% |
| Wk 2 | 39% | 45% | 51% |
| Wk 3 | 58% | 64% | 70% |
| Wk 4 | 78% | 82% | 86% |
| Wk 5 | 72% | 77% | 82% |
| Wk 6 | 60% | 66% | 71% |
| Wk 7 | 56% | 62% | 68% |
| Wk 8 | 64% | 69% | 75% |
| Wk 9 | 65% | 71% | 76% |
RECORDS
Drake
Dayton
|
1-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-1 (0%) |
|
2-6 (25%) |
Overall |
6-1 (85.7%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Home |
4-0 (100%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Away |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-5 (16.7%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-0 (100%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
5-1 (83.3%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Drake
Dayton
| #187 Dayton | Best Win | #175 Butler |
| #403 Marist | Worst Loss | #458 Drake |
| 19 pts vs #521 Davidson | Largest MOV | 28 pts vs #572 Morehead St |
| 42 pts vs #189 Northern Iowa | Largest MOD | 8 pts vs #458 Drake |
OTHER STATISTICS
Drake
Dayton
| 24.5 | Points per Game | 32 |
| 34.3 | Points Against | 20 |
| 27 | Home PPG | 41.5 |
| 30 | Home PA | 21.8 |
| 22 | Away PPG | 19.3 |
| 38.5 | Away PA | 17.7 |
| 36-26 | Opponent Record | 20-36 |
| 301.1 | Avg Opponent Rank | 421.1 |
| L 3 | Longest Streak | W 3 |
| L 3 | Current Streak | W 3 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Drake
Dayton
| Oct 24 | vs Butler (6-2) | L21-33 | Oct 24 | vs San Diego (3-5) | W37-32 |
| Oct 17 | vs Marist (4-4) | L22-27 | Oct 17 | at Butler (6-2) | W19-9 |
| Oct 10 | at Valparaiso (4-4) | L13-21 | Oct 10 | vs Morehead St (2-6) | W56-28 |
| Oct 3 | vs Dayton (6-1) | W30-22 | Oct 3 | at Drake (2-6) | L22-30 |
| Sep 26 | at Davidson (3-5) | W51-32 | Sep 19 | at Eastern Kentucky (3-5) | W17-14 |
| Sep 12 | at Northern Iowa (3-4) | L14-56 | Sep 12 | vs Thomas More (2-6) | W30-7 |
| Sep 5 | at Montana (5-3) | L10-45 | Aug 29 | vs Fairmont St (2-6) | W43-20 |
| Aug 27 | vs South Dakota Tech (5-3) | L35-38 |