Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 10 (Nov 1), 2026-27: Dordt 54%, Morningside 46% at Dordt.
Dordt's win probability against Morningside has swung between 41% and 53% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 41% now.
Dordt's win probability against Morningside has swung between 47% and 60% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 47% now.
Dordt's win probability against Morningside has swung between 54% and 65% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 54% now.