Olivet Nazarene at Defiance Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Olivet Nazarene by 28.41
TOTAL POINTS
62
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's NAIA predictions
RATINGS
Defiance
Olivet Nazarene 
|
76
C
|
Overall |
95
A
|
|
69
D+
|
Power |
90
A-
|
|
72
C-
|
Offensive |
91
A-
|
|
68
D+
|
Defensive |
89
B+
|
|
91
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
83
B-
|
|
84
B
|
SoS (Full Season) |
74
C
|
|
76
C
|
SoR (Current) |
91
A-
|
|
75
C
|
SoR (Full Season) |
92
A-
|
RANKINGS
Defiance
Olivet Nazarene
| 57 #576 overall |
Overall | 10 #273 overall |
| 74 #635 overall |
Power | 23 #427 overall |
| 66 #600 overall |
Offensive | 21 #416 overall |
| 76 #652 overall |
Defensive | 25 #455 overall |
| 21 #484 overall |
SoS (Current) | 39 #537 overall |
| 37 #526 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 62 #611 overall |
Olivet Nazarene#1095%Defiance#575%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Olivet Nazarene 95%, Defiance 5% at Defiance.
Olivet Nazarene's win probability against Defiance has swung between 92% and 97% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 95% now.
Olivet Nazarene's win probability against Defiance has held at 96% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Olivet Nazarene's win probability against Defiance has held at 97% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Olivet Nazarene favored
Defiance favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Defiance | Neutral | At Olivet Nazarene |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 91% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 1 | 83% | 87% | 90% |
| Wk 2 | 92% | 94% | 95% |
| Wk 3 | 93% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 4 | 97% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 5 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 6 | 92% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 7 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 8 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 9 | 95% | 96% | 97% |
RECORDS
Defiance
Olivet Nazarene
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
3-5 (37.5%) |
Overall |
6-1 (85.7%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Home |
4-0 (100%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Away |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Versus NAIA Top 25 |
1-1 (50%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
4-0 (100%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Defiance
Olivet Nazarene
| #488 St Xavier | Best Win | #364 Taylor |
| #606 St Francis IL | Worst Loss | #193 Marian IN |
| 35 pts vs #752 Rio Grande | Largest MOV | 63 pts vs #725 Judson IL |
| 53 pts vs #193 Marian IN | Largest MOD | 28 pts vs #193 Marian IN |
OTHER STATISTICS
Defiance
Olivet Nazarene
| 24.3 | Points per Game | 42 |
| 40.9 | Points Against | 22.1 |
| 23.8 | Home PPG | 45.8 |
| 43.6 | Home PA | 23.3 |
| 25 | Away PPG | 37 |
| 36.3 | Away PA | 20.7 |
| 32-31 | Opponent Record | 27-29 |
| 459.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 491.4 |
| L 3 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| L 3 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Defiance
Olivet Nazarene
| Oct 24 | at Taylor (6-2) | L19-70 | Oct 24 | vs Judson IL (0-8) | W70-7 |
| Oct 17 | vs Indiana Wesleyan (7-1) | L12-53 | Oct 17 | at Marian IN (7-1) | L3-31 |
| Oct 10 | at St Francis IL (2-6) | L14-27 | Oct 10 | at Madonna (3-5) | W49-17 |
| Oct 3 | vs St Xavier (4-4) | W35-30 | Oct 3 | vs Lawrence Tech (3-5) | W34-31 |
| Sep 19 | vs Olivet Nazarene (6-1) | L14-59 | Sep 19 | at Defiance (3-5) | W59-14 |
| Sep 12 | at Judson IL (0-8) | W42-12 | Sep 5 | vs St Francis IN (5-3) | W31-21 |
| Sep 5 | vs Marian IN (7-1) | L0-53 | Aug 27 | vs Taylor (6-2) | W48-34 |
| Aug 29 | vs Rio Grande (0-8) | W58-23 |