Marian IN at Defiance Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Marian IN by 41.38
TOTAL POINTS
54
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's NAIA predictions
RATINGS
Defiance
Marian IN 
|
76
C
|
Overall |
98
A+
|
|
69
D+
|
Power |
94
A
|
|
72
C-
|
Offensive |
92
A-
|
|
68
D+
|
Defensive |
97
A+
|
|
91
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
92
A-
|
|
84
B
|
SoS (Full Season) |
80
B-
|
|
76
C
|
SoR (Current) |
97
A+
|
|
75
C
|
SoR (Full Season) |
97
A+
|
RANKINGS
Defiance
Marian IN
| 57 #576 overall |
Overall | 3 #193 overall |
| 74 #635 overall |
Power | 13 #347 overall |
| 66 #600 overall |
Offensive | 19 #385 overall |
| 76 #652 overall |
Defensive | 5 #312 overall |
| 21 #484 overall |
SoS (Current) | 18 #464 overall |
| 37 #526 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 48 #559 overall |
Marian IN#398%Defiance#572%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Marian IN 98%, Defiance 2% at Defiance.
Marian IN's win probability against Defiance has held at 98% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Marian IN's win probability against Defiance has held at 99% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Marian IN's win probability against Defiance has held at 99% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Marian IN favored
Defiance favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Defiance | Neutral | At Marian IN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 1 | 92% | 94% | 95% |
| Wk 2 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 3 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 4 | 96% | 97% | 97% |
| Wk 5 | 96% | 97% | 97% |
| Wk 6 | 95% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 7 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 8 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 9 | 98% | 99% | 99% |
RECORDS
Defiance
Marian IN
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
3-5 (37.5%) |
Overall |
7-1 (87.5%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Home |
4-0 (100%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Away |
3-1 (75%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Versus NAIA Top 25 |
3-0 (100%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
4-1 (80%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
3-0 (100%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Last 5 Games |
5-0 (100%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Defiance
Marian IN
| #488 St Xavier | Best Win | #273 Olivet Nazarene |
| #606 St Francis IL | Worst Loss | #419 Indianapolis |
| 35 pts vs #752 Rio Grande | Largest MOV | 67 pts vs #708 St Mary-Woods |
| 53 pts vs #193 Marian IN | Largest MOD | 32 pts vs #419 Indianapolis |
OTHER STATISTICS
Defiance
Marian IN
| 24.3 | Points per Game | 34.6 |
| 40.9 | Points Against | 14.1 |
| 23.8 | Home PPG | 28.5 |
| 43.6 | Home PA | 15.5 |
| 25 | Away PPG | 40.8 |
| 36.3 | Away PA | 12.8 |
| 32-31 | Opponent Record | 34-28 |
| 459.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 451.3 |
| L 3 | Longest Streak | W 7 |
| L 3 | Current Streak | W 7 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Defiance
Marian IN
| Oct 24 | at Taylor (6-2) | L19-70 | Oct 24 | at St Mary-Woods (0-7) | W73-6 |
| Oct 17 | vs Indiana Wesleyan (7-1) | L12-53 | Oct 17 | vs Olivet Nazarene (6-1) | W31-3 |
| Oct 10 | at St Francis IL (2-6) | L14-27 | Oct 10 | vs Indiana Wesleyan (7-1) | W30-28 |
| Oct 3 | vs St Xavier (4-4) | W35-30 | Oct 3 | vs Taylor (6-2) | W26-6 |
| Sep 19 | vs Olivet Nazarene (6-1) | L14-59 | Sep 19 | vs Madonna (3-5) | W27-25 |
| Sep 12 | at Judson IL (0-8) | W42-12 | Sep 12 | at St Francis IN (5-3) | W30-6 |
| Sep 5 | vs Marian IN (7-1) | L0-53 | Sep 5 | at Defiance (3-5) | W53-0 |
| Aug 29 | vs Rio Grande (0-8) | W58-23 | Aug 27 | at Indianapolis (4-4) | L7-39 |