San Diego at Dayton Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Dayton by 7.09
TOTAL POINTS
59
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
San Diego
Dayton 
|
76
C
|
Overall |
89
B+
|
|
65
D
|
Power |
69
D+
|
|
73
C-
|
Offensive |
69
D+
|
|
64
D
|
Defensive |
70
C-
|
|
85
B
|
SoS (Current) |
61
D-
|
|
72
C-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
60
D-
|
|
68
D+
|
SoR (Current) |
86
B
|
|
68
D+
|
SoR (Full Season) |
79
C+
|
RANKINGS
San Diego
Dayton
| 76 #328 overall |
Overall | 33 #187 overall |
| 112 #289 overall |
Power | 99 #262 overall |
| 86 #250 overall |
Offensive | 100 #269 overall |
| 115 #326 overall |
Defensive | 96 #254 overall |
| 48 #189 overall |
SoS (Current) | 125 #413 overall |
| 89 #248 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 128 #446 overall |
Dayton#3366%
San Diego#7634%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Dayton 66%, San Diego 34% at Dayton.
Dayton's win probability against San Diego has swung between 52% and 77% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 54% now.
Dayton's win probability against San Diego has swung between 58% and 82% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 60% now.
Dayton's win probability against San Diego has swung between 64% and 85% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 66% now.
Dayton favored
San Diego favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At San Diego | Neutral | At Dayton |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 30% | 36% | 42% |
| Wk 1 | 35% | 41% | 47% |
| Wk 2 | 36% | 42% | 48% |
| Wk 3 | 52% | 58% | 64% |
| Wk 4 | 53% | 59% | 65% |
| Wk 5 | 77% | 82% | 85% |
| Wk 6 | 61% | 67% | 72% |
| Wk 7 | 57% | 63% | 69% |
| Wk 8 | 54% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 9 | 54% | 60% | 66% |
RECORDS
San Diego
Dayton
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
3-5 (37.5%) |
Overall |
6-1 (85.7%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Home |
4-0 (100%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Away |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-5 (16.7%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-0 (100%) |
|
2-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
5-1 (83.3%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
San Diego
Dayton
| #276 Cal Poly SLO | Best Win | #175 Butler |
| #199 St Thomas MN | Worst Loss | #458 Drake |
| 49 pts vs #521 Davidson | Largest MOV | 28 pts vs #572 Morehead St |
| 42 pts vs #190 Idaho St | Largest MOD | 8 pts vs #458 Drake |
OTHER STATISTICS
San Diego
Dayton
| 29 | Points per Game | 32 |
| 37.3 | Points Against | 20 |
| 39.3 | Home PPG | 41.5 |
| 25.3 | Home PA | 21.8 |
| 22.8 | Away PPG | 19.3 |
| 44.4 | Away PA | 17.7 |
| 39-25 | Opponent Record | 20-36 |
| 266 | Avg Opponent Rank | 421.1 |
| L 2 | Longest Streak | W 3 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | W 3 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
San Diego
Dayton
| Oct 24 | at Dayton (6-1) | L32-37 | Oct 24 | vs San Diego (3-5) | W37-32 |
| Oct 17 | vs Valparaiso (4-4) | W38-13 | Oct 17 | at Butler (6-2) | W19-9 |
| Oct 10 | at Butler (6-2) | L10-41 | Oct 10 | vs Morehead St (2-6) | W56-28 |
| Oct 3 | vs Davidson (3-5) | W63-14 | Oct 3 | at Drake (2-6) | L22-30 |
| Sep 26 | at St Thomas MN (6-2) | L17-50 | Sep 19 | at Eastern Kentucky (3-5) | W17-14 |
| Sep 19 | at Cal Poly SLO (4-5) | W38-35 | Sep 12 | vs Thomas More (2-6) | W30-7 |
| Sep 12 | at Idaho St (5-3) | L17-59 | Aug 29 | vs Fairmont St (2-6) | W43-20 |
| Sep 5 | vs UC-Davis (5-3) | L17-49 |