FCS College Football Game Simulator Simulate Any Matchup
Prediction updated: Saturday, August 1, 2026
Morehead St
Eagles
Pioneer
16
33% win prob
Away
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
Dayton
Flyers
Pioneer
28
67% win prob
Home
POINT SPREAD
Dayton by 11.68
TOTAL POINTS
44
UPDATED
Saturday, August 1, 2026
PRESEASON RATINGS
Morehead St
Dayton
|
73
C-
|
Overall |
74
C-
|
|
62
D-
|
Power |
69
D+
|
|
61
D-
|
Offensive |
65
D
|
|
64
D
|
Defensive |
75
C
|
|
62
D-
|
SoS (Current) |
64
D
|
|
62
D-
|
SoS (Future) |
64
D
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Morehead St
Dayton
| 362 | Overall | 355 |
| 353 | Power | 271 |
| 394 | Offensive | 319 |
| 319 | Defensive | 231 |
| 347 | SoS (Current) | 307 |
| 347 | SoS (Future) | 307 |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Morehead St
Dayton
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
6-6 (50%) |
Overall |
7-4 (63.6%) |
|
5-1 (83.3%) |
Home |
3-2 (60%) |
|
1-5 (16.7%) |
Away |
4-2 (66.7%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
2-5 (28.6%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-3 (40%) |
|
4-1 (80%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
5-1 (83.3%) |
|
4-1 (80%) |
Last 5 Games |
2-3 (40%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Morehead St
Dayton
| #281 Butler | Best Win | #200 Presbyterian |
| #517 Stetson | Worst Loss | #403 Eastern Illinois |
| 17 pts vs #641 Kentucky Christian | Largest MOV | 38 pts vs #619 Thomas More |
| 49 pts vs #178 Austin Peay | Largest MOD | 18 pts vs #184 San Diego |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Morehead St
Dayton
| 21.2 | Points per Game | 27.8 |
| 29.8 | Points Against | 17.4 |
| 32.2 | Home PPG | 28.8 |
| 28.2 | Home PA | 14 |
| 10.2 | Away PPG | 27 |
| 31.5 | Away PA | 20.2 |
| 72-73 | Opponent Record | 52-79 |
| 359.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 390.4 |
| W 4 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Morehead St
Dayton
| Nov 22 at Drake (8-4) L 10-17 | Nov 22 at Davidson (2-10) W 42-14 |
| Nov 8 vs Butler (6-6) W 31-30 | Nov 15 vs Drake (8-4) L 6-14 |
| Nov 1 vs Davidson (2-10) W 28-24 | Nov 1 at San Diego (8-4) L 13-31 |
| Oct 25 at Valparaiso (2-10) W 17-13 | Oct 25 vs Presbyterian (10-2) W 35-19 |
| Oct 18 vs Marist (5-7) W 23-21 | Oct 18 vs Butler (6-6) L 17-23 |
| Oct 11 at Stetson (3-9) L 14-21 | Oct 11 at Valparaiso (2-10) W 41-10 |
| Oct 4 vs Dayton (7-4) L 28-35 | Oct 4 at Morehead St (6-6) W 35-28 |
| Sep 27 at Presbyterian (10-2) L 0-41 | Sep 27 vs Stetson (3-9) W 48-14 |
| Sep 20 vs Kentucky Christian (4-6) W 45-28 | Sep 20 at Robert Morris (3-9) W 17-14 |
| Sep 13 at Austin Peay (7-5) L 7-56 | Sep 6 vs Thomas More (1-10) W 38-0 |
| Sep 6 at Illinois St (12-5) L 13-41 | Aug 28 at Eastern Illinois (3-9) L 14-24 |
| Aug 30 vs Allen (6-5) W 38-31 |
