Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Dartmouth 63%, Pennsylvania 37% at Dartmouth.
Dartmouth's win probability against Pennsylvania has swung between 45% and 57% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 50% now.
Dartmouth's win probability against Pennsylvania has swung between 51% and 63% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 57% now.
Dartmouth's win probability against Pennsylvania has swung between 58% and 68% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 63% now.