Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Dartmouth 73%, Merrimack 27% at Dartmouth.
Dartmouth's win probability against Merrimack has swung between 60% and 78% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 62% now.
Dartmouth's win probability against Merrimack has swung between 66% and 82% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 68% now.
Dartmouth's win probability against Merrimack has swung between 71% and 86% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 73% now.