North Carolina at Connecticut Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
North Carolina by 10.08
TOTAL POINTS
54
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Connecticut
North Carolina 
|
69
D+
|
Overall |
85
B
|
|
77
C+
|
Power |
86
B
|
|
78
C+
|
Offensive |
84
B
|
|
75
C
|
Defensive |
89
B+
|
|
62
D-
|
SoS (Current) |
95
A
|
|
68
D+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
91
A-
|
|
70
C-
|
SoR (Current) |
88
B+
|
|
73
C-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
89
B+
|
RANKINGS
Connecticut
North Carolina
| 107 #162 overall |
Overall | 50 #52 overall |
| 80 #80 overall |
Power | 46 #46 overall |
| 74 #75 overall |
Offensive | 52 #52 overall |
| 87 #88 overall |
Defensive | 36 #36 overall |
| 130 #149 overall |
SoS (Current) | 16 #16 overall |
| 109 #110 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 28 #28 overall |
North Carolina#5072%
Connecticut#10728%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: North Carolina 72%, Connecticut 28% at Connecticut.
North Carolina's win probability against Connecticut has swung between 48% and 82% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 72% now.
North Carolina's win probability against Connecticut has swung between 54% and 86% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 77% now.
North Carolina's win probability against Connecticut has swung between 61% and 89% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 82% now.
North Carolina favored
Connecticut favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Connecticut | Neutral | At North Carolina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 64% | 70% | 75% |
| Wk 1 | 63% | 69% | 74% |
| Wk 2 | 58% | 64% | 69% |
| Wk 3 | 66% | 71% | 77% |
| Wk 4 | 48% | 54% | 61% |
| Wk 5 | 67% | 72% | 77% |
| Wk 6 | 78% | 82% | 86% |
| Wk 7 | 82% | 86% | 89% |
| Wk 8 | 80% | 84% | 87% |
| Wk 9 | 72% | 77% | 82% |
RECORDS
Connecticut
North Carolina
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
4-3 (57.1%) |
Overall |
4-3 (57.1%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Home |
1-2 (33.3%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Away |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-2 (60%) |
|
3-2 (60%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
1-1 (50%) |
|
3-2 (60%) |
Last 5 Games |
2-3 (40%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Connecticut
North Carolina
| #224 Temple | Best Win | #51 Duke |
| #173 Maryland | Worst Loss | #127 Syracuse |
| 49 pts vs #349 Lafayette | Largest MOV | 32 pts vs #128 East Tennessee St |
| 24 pts vs #173 Maryland | Largest MOD | 11 pts vs #10 Notre Dame |
OTHER STATISTICS
Connecticut
North Carolina
| 35.6 | Points per Game | 24.4 |
| 23.9 | Points Against | 20.9 |
| 36.5 | Home PPG | 30.3 |
| 25.8 | Home PA | 23.7 |
| 34.3 | Away PPG | 21.7 |
| 21.3 | Away PA | 21.7 |
| 21-30 | Opponent Record | 32-19 |
| 212 | Avg Opponent Rank | 72.4 |
| L 2 | Longest Streak | W 2 |
| W 2 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Connecticut
North Carolina
| Oct 23 | vs Massachusetts (4-4) | W35-16 | Oct 24 | vs Syracuse (3-4) | L30-31 |
| Oct 10 | at Temple (2-5) | W34-20 | Oct 17 | at Duke (5-2) | W24-20 |
| Oct 3 | vs Syracuse (3-4) | L41-42 | Oct 10 | at Pittsburgh (5-3) | W21-17 |
| Sep 26 | at Miami OH (5-3) | L21-24 | Oct 3 | vs #10 Notre Dame (6-1) | L26-37 |
| Sep 19 | at Southern Miss (2-5) | W48-20 | Sep 19 | at Clemson (4-3) | L20-28 |
| Sep 12 | vs Maryland (2-5) | L14-38 | Sep 12 | vs East Tennessee St (6-2) | W35-3 |
| Sep 5 | vs Lafayette (3-4) | W56-7 | Aug 29 | TCU (3-4) | W15-10 |