Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 10 (Nov 1), 2026-27: Dartmouth 73%, Columbia 27% at Columbia.
Dartmouth's win probability against Columbia has swung between 48% and 73% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 73% now.
Dartmouth's win probability against Columbia has swung between 54% and 78% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 78% now.
Dartmouth's win probability against Columbia has swung between 60% and 83% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 82% now.