Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Clarke IA 52%, Mount Mercy 48% at Clarke IA.
Clarke IA's win probability against Mount Mercy has swung between 27% and 49% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 40% now.
Clarke IA's win probability against Mount Mercy has swung between 32% and 55% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 46% now.
Clarke IA's win probability against Mount Mercy has swung between 38% and 61% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 52% now.