Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 3 (Sep 13), 2026-27: Baker 97%, Clarke IA 3% at Clarke IA.
Baker's win probability against Clarke IA has held at 97% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Baker's win probability against Clarke IA has held at 98% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.