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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 6 (Oct 4), 2026-27: Chicago 87%, Cornell IA 13% at Chicago.
Chicago's win probability against Cornell IA has swung between 78% and 94% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 79% now.
Chicago's win probability against Cornell IA has swung between 82% and 96% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 84% now.
Chicago's win probability against Cornell IA has swung between 86% and 97% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 87% now.