Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Central Arkansas 55%, West Florida 45% at Central Arkansas.
Central Arkansas' win probability against West Florida has swung between 29% and 46% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 42% now.
Central Arkansas' win probability against West Florida has swung between 35% and 52% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 49% now.
Central Arkansas' win probability against West Florida has swung between 40% and 58% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 55% now.