Texas-Rio Grande Valley at Central Arkansas Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Central Arkansas by 4.36
TOTAL POINTS
51
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
Central Arkansas
UTRGV 
|
75
C
|
Overall |
84
B
|
|
87
B+
|
Power |
84
B
|
|
88
B+
|
Offensive |
81
B-
|
|
85
B
|
Defensive |
89
B+
|
|
95
A
|
SoS (Current) |
84
B
|
|
92
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
85
B
|
|
75
C
|
SoR (Current) |
82
B-
|
|
78
C+
|
SoR (Full Season) |
85
B
|
RANKINGS
Central Arkansas
UTRGV
| 79 #334 overall |
Overall | 50 #238 overall |
| 39 #179 overall |
Power | 49 #190 overall |
| 37 #176 overall |
Offensive | 58 #205 overall |
| 45 #185 overall |
Defensive | 35 #172 overall |
| 14 #140 overall |
SoS (Current) | 49 #190 overall |
| 23 #159 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 46 #187 overall |
Central Arkansas#7960%
Texas-Rio Grande Valley#5040%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Central Arkansas 60%, Texas-Rio Grande Valley 40% at Central Arkansas.
Central Arkansas' win probability against Texas-Rio Grande Valley has swung between 27% and 54% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 48% now.
Central Arkansas' win probability against Texas-Rio Grande Valley has swung between 33% and 60% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 54% now.
Central Arkansas' win probability against Texas-Rio Grande Valley has swung between 39% and 66% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 60% now.
Central Arkansas favored
Texas-Rio Grande Valley favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Texas-Rio Grande Valley | Neutral | At Central Arkansas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 38% | 44% | 50% |
| Wk 1 | 34% | 40% | 46% |
| Wk 2 | 25% | 30% | 36% |
| Wk 3 | 40% | 46% | 52% |
| Wk 4 | 27% | 33% | 39% |
| Wk 5 | 32% | 38% | 44% |
| Wk 6 | 41% | 47% | 54% |
| Wk 7 | 43% | 49% | 56% |
| Wk 8 | 54% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 9 | 48% | 54% | 60% |
RECORDS
Central Arkansas
UTRGV
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
2-6 (25%) |
Overall |
4-4 (50%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Home |
3-0 (100%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Away |
1-4 (20%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
0-5 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-2 (50%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
2-2 (50%) |
|
0-5 (0%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Central Arkansas
UTRGV
| #329 Tennessee-Martin | Best Win | #197 SE Louisiana |
| #238 Texas-Rio Grande Valley | Worst Loss | #413 East Texas A&M |
| 39 pts vs #350 Central Oklahoma | Largest MOV | 44 pts vs #386 Texas-Permian Basin |
| 28 pts vs #185 West Florida | Largest MOD | 29 pts vs #21 Texas-San Antonio |
OTHER STATISTICS
Central Arkansas
UTRGV
| 25.1 | Points per Game | 23.9 |
| 30.8 | Points Against | 22.1 |
| 33.3 | Home PPG | 28 |
| 30.7 | Home PA | 4.3 |
| 20.2 | Away PPG | 21.4 |
| 30.8 | Away PA | 32.8 |
| 34-28 | Opponent Record | 30-34 |
| 195.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 266.4 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | L 2 |
| L 5 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Central Arkansas
UTRGV
| Oct 24 | vs Texas-Rio Grande Valley (4-4) | L27-30 | Oct 24 | at Central Arkansas (2-6) | W30-27 |
| Oct 17 | at Tarleton St (8-0) | L35-49 | Oct 17 | at Incarnate Word (4-4) | L16-41 |
| Oct 10 | at Abilene Christian (4-4) | L14-20 | Oct 10 | vs SE Louisiana (4-4) | W13-3 |
| Sep 26 | at Florida St (3-4) | L7-34 | Oct 3 | at East Texas A&M (2-6) | L17-20 |
| Sep 19 | at SE Missouri St (5-3) | L9-27 | Sep 19 | vs McNeese St (3-5) | W27-10 |
| Sep 12 | vs Central Oklahoma (3-5) | W59-20 | Sep 12 | at Nicholls St (3-5) | L28-31 |
| Sep 5 | vs West Florida (4-3) | L14-42 | Sep 5 | at #21 Texas-San Antonio (7-1) | L16-45 |
| Aug 27 | at Tennessee-Martin (3-5) | W36-24 | Aug 29 | vs Texas-Permian Basin (5-3) | W44-0 |