Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Austin Peay 70%, Central Arkansas 30% at Central Arkansas.
Austin Peay's win probability against Central Arkansas has swung between 66% and 85% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 70% now.
Austin Peay's win probability against Central Arkansas has swung between 72% and 88% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 75% now.
Austin Peay's win probability against Central Arkansas has swung between 77% and 91% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 80% now.