Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Catholic 55%, Western Conn St 45% at Catholic.
Catholic's win probability against Western Conn St has swung between 30% and 54% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 42% now.
Catholic's win probability against Western Conn St has swung between 36% and 60% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 48% now.
Catholic's win probability against Western Conn St has swung between 42% and 66% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 55% now.