Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Carnegie Mellon 95%, Catholic 5% at Catholic.
Carnegie Mellon's win probability against Catholic has swung between 82% and 95% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 95% now.
Carnegie Mellon's win probability against Catholic is trending up — from 91% to 96% over the last 6 weeks.
Carnegie Mellon's win probability against Catholic is trending up — from 93% to 97% over the last 6 weeks.