Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Carnegie Mellon 57%, Dickinson 43% at Carnegie Mellon.
Carnegie Mellon's win probability against Dickinson is trending down — from 54% to 44% over the last 6 weeks.
Carnegie Mellon's win probability against Dickinson is trending down — from 60% to 50% over the last 6 weeks.
Carnegie Mellon's win probability against Dickinson has swung between 47% and 66% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 57% now.