Mount Union at Capital Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Mount Union by 25.34
TOTAL POINTS
59
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's D3 predictions
RATINGS
Capital
Mount Union 
|
86
B
|
Overall |
96
A
|
|
82
B-
|
Power |
95
A
|
|
83
B-
|
Offensive |
97
A+
|
|
81
B-
|
Defensive |
93
A-
|
|
88
B+
|
SoS (Current) |
96
A
|
|
92
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
97
A+
|
|
85
B
|
SoR (Current) |
94
A
|
|
83
B-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
94
A
|
RANKINGS
Capital
Mount Union
| 81 #410 overall |
Overall | 20 #169 overall |
| 100 #578 overall |
Power | 22 #398 overall |
| 96 #570 overall |
Offensive | 14 #365 overall |
| 106 #583 overall |
Defensive | 34 #431 overall |
| 67 #427 overall |
SoS (Current) | 20 #281 overall |
| 42 #360 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 11 #249 overall |
Mount Union#2093%Capital#817%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Mount Union 93%, Capital 7% at Capital.
Mount Union's win probability against Capital is trending down — from 97% to 93% over the last 6 weeks.
Mount Union's win probability against Capital is trending down — from 97% to 94% over the last 6 weeks.
Mount Union's win probability against Capital has held at 96% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Mount Union favored
Capital favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Capital | Neutral | At Mount Union |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 1 | 98% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 2 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 3 | 97% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 4 | 96% | 97% | 97% |
| Wk 5 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 6 | 94% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 7 | 92% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 8 | 91% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 9 | 93% | 94% | 96% |
RECORDS
Capital
Mount Union
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
4-3 (57.1%) |
Overall |
5-2 (71.4%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Home |
3-1 (75%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Away |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-2 (60%) |
|
4-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
2-0 (100%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Capital
Mount Union
| #537 Wilmington | Best Win | #294 Grove City |
| #311 Marietta | Worst Loss | #117 Heidelberg |
| 25 pts vs #690 Anderson IN | Largest MOV | 58 pts vs #635 Muskingum |
| 39 pts vs #87 Baldwin Wallace | Largest MOD | 3 pts vs #117 Heidelberg |
OTHER STATISTICS
Capital
Mount Union
| 27.9 | Points per Game | 40.7 |
| 27.7 | Points Against | 22.3 |
| 34.7 | Home PPG | 38 |
| 25.3 | Home PA | 25.5 |
| 22.8 | Away PPG | 44.3 |
| 29.5 | Away PA | 18 |
| 20-29 | Opponent Record | 28-21 |
| 430.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 339.6 |
| W 2 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | W 4 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Capital
Mount Union
| Oct 24 | vs Anderson IN (1-6) | W37-12 | Oct 24 | vs Wilmington (2-5) | W70-27 |
| Oct 17 | vs Mount Union (5-2) | L23-45 | Oct 17 | at Capital (4-3) | W45-23 |
| Oct 10 | at Muskingum (0-7) | W36-25 | Oct 10 | vs Marietta (4-3) | W27-21 |
| Sep 26 | at Baldwin Wallace (7-0) | L10-49 | Oct 3 | at Muskingum (0-7) | W65-7 |
| Sep 19 | at Marietta (4-3) | L10-32 | Sep 19 | vs Heidelberg (6-1) | L34-37 |
| Sep 12 | vs Wilmington (2-5) | W44-19 | Sep 12 | vs Grove City (5-2) | W21-17 |
| Sep 5 | at Waynesburg (1-6) | W35-12 | Sep 5 | at Wheaton (7-0) | L23-24 |