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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: California 64%, Stanford 36% at California.
California's win probability against Stanford has swung between 51% and 70% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 51% now.
California's win probability against Stanford has swung between 58% and 75% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 58% now.
California's win probability against Stanford has swung between 64% and 80% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 64% now.