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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Pittsburgh 81%, California 19% at California.
Pittsburgh's win probability against California has swung between 74% and 89% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 81% now.
Pittsburgh's win probability against California has swung between 79% and 91% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 84% now.
Pittsburgh's win probability against California has swung between 83% and 93% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 88% now.